Amaxabiso entsimbi ehle ngaphantsi kwelona xesha liphantsi lonyaka, kwaye imeko yokuhla ayikatshintshi

Ngo-Okthobha, amaxabiso entsimbi aqhubeka nokuhla, kwaye ukuhla ekupheleni kwenyanga kwaqhubeka nokukhawulezisa. Kwiintsuku ezimbini zokugqibela zorhwebo, ixabiso lee-rebar futures lehle kakhulu, kwaye ixabiso eliphantsi lee-futures zombini lehla ngaphantsi kwelona xesha liphantsi lonyaka.
Idiski yaphinda yabuya ngomhla woku-1 kweyeNkanga, kodwa oku akuthethi ukuba imakethi iza kutshintsha. Ngokwembono yangoku, ukuhla kwamaxabiso entsimbi akukatshintshi phantsi kwempembelelo yokunyuka kwenzala yeFed, imeko yobhubhane kunye nokuvunyelwa kwezinto eziluhlaza.
1. Inzuzo yezinto ezisetyenzisiweyo iphezulu, kwaye kusekho ithuba lokungaphumeleli
Kutshanje, ukwehla okuqhubekayo kwamaxabiso entsimbi kukhokelele ekunciphiseni okukhulu kwenzuzo yemizi-mveliso yentsimbi, kwaye ezinye iintlobo ziye zalahlekelwa kakhulu.
(Ukuze ufunde okungakumbi ngempembelelo yeemveliso ezithile zentsimbi, ezifanaIposi yoDonga lokuGcina iiDigri ezingama-45, ungazive ukhululekile ukunxibelelana nathi)
Ukuncipha kwenzuzo yesinyithi, ukongeza ekwehleni kwamaxabiso esinyithi, akunanto yakwenza namaxabiso aphezulu ezinto eziluhlaza. Ukusukela ekuqaleni kwalo nyaka, imakethi yeempahla ezinkulu zehlabathi itshintshile kakhulu, kwaye amaxabiso ezinto eziluhlaza ezinkulu zokwenza isinyithi ezifana ne-coking coal, i-coke, i-iron ore, kunye ne-scrap steel anyuke ngokukhawuleza, nto leyo ebangele ukunyuka okukhulu kweendleko zemveliso yesinyithi. Iindleko zokuthenga i-iron ore engeniswe kwamanye amazwe, nangona ziphantsi unyaka nonyaka, zisephezulu kunexesha elifanayo ngo-2019 nango-2020.
Ngenxa yokwehla okukhulu kwenzuzo kunye nokulahleka kweefektri zentsimbi, oku kuya kwenza impendulo engalunganga kumaxabiso ezinto eziluhlaza ezifana ne-coking coal kunye ne-iron ore enengeniso ephezulu; kwaye ixabiso le-iron ore yasekhaya yangoku liphezulu kunexabiso lamazwe ngamazwe, ngoko ke ixabiso le-iron ore kwinqanaba lokugqibela liya kuba liphantsi. , i-coking coal kunye namanye amaxabiso e-fuel eluhlaza anendawo yokwehla ngakumbi. Ukwehla kwamaxabiso e-fuel eluhlaza kuya kwenza buthathaka inkxaso yamaxabiso entsimbi.
(Ukuba ufuna ukwazi okungakumbi ngeendaba zoshishino kwiIipali zodonga zokubopha intsimbi enesinyithi, ungaqhagamshelana nathi nangaliphi na ixesha)
2. Ukunyuka kwexabiso le-Fed kusondele, ukuzithemba kwemarike kuphantsi
NgoLwesine, iFederal Reserve iza kuqalisa ukunyuka kwesithandathu kwenzala, kwaye imakethi ilindele amathuba aphezulu okunyusa amazinga enzala ngamanqaku angama-75, kwaye kunokubakho ukunyuka okukhulu kwenzala phakathi konyaka. Ukunyuka okukhulu kwenzala yiFederal Reserve kuya kuba nefuthe elibi kumaxabiso eemveliso, amazinga okutshintshiselana, imakethi yesitokhwe kwanezindlu nomhlaba, okuya kukhokelela ekuzithembeni okuphantsi kwemarike kwaye kwandise uxinzelelo oluphantsi kwidiski.
(Ukuba ufuna ukufumana ixabiso leemveliso ezithile zentsimbi, ezifanaIipali zodonga zokugcina iGal, ungaqhagamshelana nathi ukuze ufumane isaphulelo nangaliphi na ixesha)
Okwangoku, idiski yehle yaya kwinqanaba elitsha kwiminyaka emi-2, kwaye ukuzithemba kwemarike akukuhle. Kukho imali encinci yokwenza inzuzo kunye nokuhlawula izikhundla, nto leyo ebangela ukunyuka kwezikhundla. Kwinqanaba lokugqibela, akukacaci ukuba imali ingaqhubeka ibulala ngokweemeko. Kodwa kwelinye icala, imakethi ayisoze iwele ezantsi ngo-2015.