Inzala ye-Federal Reserve iyanyuka "iyeke kwaye ayizange iyeke", imarike iya kuhamba phi ngexesha lonyaka?

Ngentsasa yale ntsasa, i-Federal Reserve ibhengeze ukumiswa kokunyuka kwexabiso lenzala, ukugcina uluhlu olujoliswe kuyo lwezinga lemali ye-federal ingatshintshi kwi-5.0% ukuya kwi-5.25%.Oku kwakuye kwetyiswe kwangaphambili.
(Ukufunda ngakumbi malunga neempembelelo zeemveliso ezithile zentsimbi, njengeUhlobo lwesi-4 lweMfumba yeShiti, ungaziva ukhululekile ukuqhagamshelana nathi)
Kubalulekile ukuqaphela ukuba intlanganiso yenzala ye-Federal Reserve ibonise ukuba ngeli xesha "ikhefu" lokunyuka kwezinga, kungekhona "ukuyeka" ukunyuka kwezinga.Kulindeleke ukuba kuphinde kubekho ukunyuswa kwamanqaku amabini asisiseko angama-25 phambi kokuphela konyaka.Kwaye uPowell waphinda wachaza kwintlanganiso ukuba akuyi kufaneleka ukunciphisa inzala kulo nyaka, kwaye akukho namnye phakathi kwamalungu e-FOMC owabikezela ukuncitshiswa kwezinga kwi-2023. Oku kuthetha ukuba i-Fed ayizange iyeke ukunyusa izinga lenzala, kunye nokwenzeka I-Fed yokunciphisa inzala kulo nyaka nayo iyancipha kakhulu.
Ukucotha kwe-Fed ekunyuseni izinga lenzala ngeli xesha kunceda ukuzinza kwamaxesha athile kumaxabiso eemveliso, kodwa kusekho ithuba lokunyusa inzala kwixesha elizayo, kwaye imarike isaza kubilisa ukungathembeki kwangaphambili.Iimveliso zorhwebo zamazwe ngamazwe zisekwixesha lokothuka.
(Ukuba ufuna ukwazi ngakumbi malunga neendaba zeshishiniSteel Sheet Imfumba Ubungakanani, ungaqhagamshelana nathi nanini na)
Ngokombono wemarike yasekhaya, i-Bureau yeSizwe yeeNkcukacha-manani ikhuphe idatha yoqoqosho lwasekhaya ngoMeyi namhlanje.Phakathi kwabo, ixabiso elongezelelweyo lamashishini amashishini ngaphezu kobukhulu obutyunjiweyo, utyalo-mali olusisigxina lwelizwe, utyalo-mali lwezindlu kunye nezinye izibonakaliso ezinxulumene kakhulu noshishino lwensimbi zonke ziye zancipha.Oku kubonisa ukuba imfuno yemakethe yentsimbi ngoMeyi yayibuthathaka.Nangona kunjalo, okukhona ukusebenza kwedatha kubi, kokukhona kuphezulu iminxeba yemarike kunye nokulindelweyo kwilizwe ukuba livelise imigaqo-nkqubo yevuselelo enamandla ngakumbi kwinqanaba lamva.
(Ukuba ufuna ukufumana ixabiso leemveliso ezithile zentsimbi, ezifanaChwetheza iMfumba yesi-4 yePhephaungaqhagamshelana nathi ngekowuteshini nangaliphi na ixesha)
Ukongezelela, ukuveliswa kwensimbi, okuye kwinqanaba eliphezulu, kuye kwawa ekugqibeleni.Ngokutsho kwedatha evela kwi-National Bureau of Statistics, ngoMeyi, imveliso yentsimbi ekrwada yelizwe lam yayiyi-90.12 yezigidi zeetoni, ukwehla konyaka-ngonyaka kwe-7.3%;umyinge wesizwe wemveliso yemihla ngemihla yentsimbi ekrwada ngoMeyi ibizizigidi ezi-2.907 zeetoni, ukwehla kwenyanga ngenyanga nge-5.9%.

Kodwa kuyafaneleka ukuba uqaphele ukuba imfuno yangoku iye yangena ngokuthe ngcembe kwixesha le-off-season, kwaye ubushushu obuphezulu ngasentla kunye nemozulu yemvula emzantsi ikhula ngokuthe ngcembe, ebopheleleke ukuba ithintele kakhulu ukwakhiwa kwangaphandle.Ngoko ke, ukuthambekela kwemfuno ebuthakathaka kwi-off-season kunzima ukutshintsha, kwaye imfuno yeemarike iyonke iya kuba kumdlalo "wezinto ezilindelekileyo" kunye "nemfuno ebuthakathaka".
Ukususela kumbono weemarike, emva kokungena ngoJuni, ixabiso lensimbi liye laphinda laphindaphinda ngokucacileyo, kwaye imarike iyonke ibonisa imarike "engenabuthathaka kwi-off-season".
Ngexesha elifutshane, iinkcukacha ezininzi zasekhaya azikabi nathemba, kodwa uthotho lwemigaqo-nkqubo ethe yaziswa kutshanje izise ithemba kwimarike.Imarike inokhuphiswano oluqatha phakathi kwexesha elide nelifutshane, kwaye umdlalo wexesha elifutshane awukafiki.Amaxabiso entsimbi asekwixesha lokuguquguquka okubanzi .